Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Strome 48.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 77.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 57.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Paquette
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Paquette
Strome
Last 8: Paquette 3-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Paquette
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Paquette
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
47.7% (533)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
50.0% (40)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
37.5% (8)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Paquette is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Paquette shoots left. Strome is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Paquette
Strome
Home
51.9% (339)
50.8% (244)
Away
49.6% (282)
45.4% (337)
By Period
Paquette
Strome
P1
52.7%
50.3%
P2
53.1%
44.1%
P3
47.1%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |