Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Malkin 46.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.7%
Defensive zone
Paquette 62.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 66.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Paquette
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Paquette
Malkin
Last 6: Paquette 2-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Paquette
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Paquette
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
46.2% (807)
+8.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
30.4% (23)
+69.6%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
33.3% (3)
+6.9%
On power play, Paquette has a +69.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Paquette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Paquette shoots left. Malkin is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Paquette
Malkin
Home
53.3% (428)
45.1% (450)
Away
51.8% (340)
46.4% (384)
By Period
Paquette
Malkin
P1
54.4%
48.2%
P2
53.0%
43.5%
P3
50.6%
46.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |