Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.2%). Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Paquette wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.4% vs Nielsen 48.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 59.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 50.1%
Neutral zone
Paquette 56.4%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Paquette
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Paquette
Nielsen
Last 5: Paquette 1-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
3
Paquette
Nielsen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Paquette
Nielsen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (197)
49.5% (841)
-4.3%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
54.1% (37)
+45.9%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (36)
40.7% (172)
+17.6%
On power play, Paquette has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Paquette is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Paquette shoots left. Nielsen is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Paquette
Nielsen
Home
51.0% (98)
51.2% (510)
Away
45.3% (137)
45.4% (540)
By Period
Paquette
Nielsen
P1
44.1%
48.6%
P2
51.2%
47.4%
P3
46.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
43.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
47.7%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |