Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Weal 52.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 90.9%
Defensive zone
Weal 51.6%
Neutral zone
Weal 76.4%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Paquette
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Paquette
Weal
Last 5: Paquette 4-1 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Weal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Weal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
0
1
Paquette
Weal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
51.8% (867)
-2.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
59.7% (129)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
37.5% (8)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Paquette
Weal
Home
50.2% (1,541)
53.2% (455)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
52.3% (549)
By Period
Paquette
Weal
P1
49.1%
56.6%
P2
49.9%
50.7%
P3
47.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |