Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Paquette wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Lehtera 49.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 75.0%
Defensive zone
Paquette 80.2%
Neutral zone
Paquette 57.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Paquette
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Paquette
Lehtera
Last 6: Paquette 2-4 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Lehtera
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
3
Paquette
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
50.0% (728)
-1.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (82)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (80)
18.2% (22)
+16.8%
On power play, Lehtera has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Paquette is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Paquette shoots left. Lehtera is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Paquette
Lehtera
Home
42.3% (182)
50.6% (443)
Away
48.8% (252)
47.6% (389)
By Period
Paquette
Lehtera
P1
51.3%
52.6%
P2
46.1%
48.6%
P3
40.3%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |