Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Jooris 48.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 52.7%
Defensive zone
Paquette 56.8%
Neutral zone
Jooris 54.9%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Paquette
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Paquette
Jooris
Last 5: Paquette 1-4 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
3
Paquette
Jooris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Jooris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
48.6% (1,221)
+1.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
61.0% (41)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
39.4% (175)
+3.1%
On power play, Jooris has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Paquette
Jooris
Home
50.2% (1,541)
49.0% (786)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Paquette
Jooris
P1
49.1%
47.5%
P2
49.9%
44.3%
P3
47.5%
51.3%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |