Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Rooney 49.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 69.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 72.4%
Neutral zone
Paquette 66.6%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Paquette
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Paquette
Rooney
Last 6: Paquette 5-1 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Rooney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
1
Paquette
Rooney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
48.2% (334)
+6.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
40.0% (5)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
60.0% (40)
-19.8%
On power play, Paquette has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Paquette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Paquette shoots left. Rooney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Paquette
Rooney
Home
53.3% (428)
52.0% (198)
Away
51.8% (340)
46.4% (181)
By Period
Paquette
Rooney
P1
54.4%
55.3%
P2
53.0%
40.3%
P3
50.6%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |