Cedric Paquette vs Luke Johnson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.3%). Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Johnson 49.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.7%
Defensive zone
Paquette 54.6%
Neutral zone
Paquette 54.5%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Paquette
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paquette
Johnson
Last 5: Paquette 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Paquette
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
51.0% (202)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
66.7% (3)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
30.0% (20)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Johnson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Paquette
Johnson
Home
50.2% (1,541)
53.7% (67)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
47.5% (158)
By Period
Paquette
Johnson
P1
49.1%
53.8%
P2
49.9%
53.8%
P3
47.5%
39.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |