Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Johnson 49.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 51.5%
Defensive zone
Paquette 76.1%
Neutral zone
Paquette 61.4%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Paquette
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paquette
Johnson
Last 5: Paquette 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Paquette
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
52.3% (88)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
27.8% (18)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Paquette is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Paquette shoots left. Johnson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Paquette
Johnson
Home
53.3% (428)
56.3% (32)
Away
51.8% (340)
44.6% (74)
By Period
Paquette
Johnson
P1
54.4%
45.2%
P2
53.0%
58.1%
P3
50.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |