Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.4%). Look for Paquette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Stajan 49.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 57.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 64.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 62.0%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Paquette
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Paquette
Stajan
Last 9: Paquette 7-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Paquette
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
50.2% (4,944)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
43.2% (176)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
46.1% (864)
-3.6%
On power play, Paquette has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Paquette
Stajan
Home
50.2% (1,541)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Paquette
Stajan
P1
49.1%
50.3%
P2
49.9%
48.5%
P3
47.5%
49.4%
OT
20.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |