Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 49.9% vs Stajan 47.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 72.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 51.3%
Neutral zone
Paquette 55.8%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Paquette
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Paquette
Stajan
Last 6: Paquette 5-1 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (215)
47.8% (678)
+5.2%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
33.3% (9)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
45.5% (101)
-8.7%
On power play, Paquette has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Paquette is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Paquette shoots left. Stajan is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Paquette
Stajan
Home
52.1% (167)
49.0% (392)
Away
46.6% (116)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Paquette
Stajan
P1
48.8%
47.9%
P2
51.0%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
43.4%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
49.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |