Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Kadri 54.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 77.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 57.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 61.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Paquette
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Paquette
Kadri
Last 8: Paquette 5-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Paquette
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Paquette
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
55.4% (704)
-1.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (18)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
50.0% (8)
-9.8%
On power play, Paquette has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Paquette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Paquette shoots left. Kadri is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Paquette
Kadri
Home
53.3% (428)
53.1% (367)
Away
51.8% (340)
57.3% (363)
By Period
Paquette
Kadri
P1
54.4%
49.8%
P2
53.0%
53.7%
P3
50.6%
61.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 12:03 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |