Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 49.9% vs Bjugstad 51.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 52.7%
Defensive zone
Paquette 57.7%
Neutral zone
Paquette 57.4%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Paquette
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Paquette
Bjugstad
Last 8: Paquette 3-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Paquette
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
4
Paquette
Bjugstad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (215)
50.4% (752)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
60.6% (104)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
58.3% (12)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Paquette is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Paquette shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Paquette
Bjugstad
Home
52.1% (167)
52.9% (461)
Away
46.6% (116)
50.4% (407)
By Period
Paquette
Bjugstad
P1
48.8%
51.5%
P2
51.0%
53.8%
P3
50.0%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
49.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |