Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 78.2%
Defensive zone
Paquette 54.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 60.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Paquette
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Paquette
Bjugstad
Last 8: Paquette 2-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Paquette
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
4
Paquette
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
48.8% (467)
+5.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.4% (58)
+46.6%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
60.0% (5)
-19.8%
On power play, Paquette has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Paquette is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Paquette shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Paquette
Bjugstad
Home
53.3% (428)
49.0% (261)
Away
51.8% (340)
49.8% (269)
By Period
Paquette
Bjugstad
P1
54.4%
50.9%
P2
53.0%
50.5%
P3
50.6%
47.2%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |