Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Cousins 47.3% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 80.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 65.1%
Neutral zone
Cousins 61.6%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Paquette
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Paquette
Cousins
Last 6: Paquette 2-4 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
3
Paquette
Cousins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Cousins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
47.0% (477)
+7.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
45.2% (42)
+54.8%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
0.0% (1)
+40.2%
On power play, Paquette has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Paquette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Paquette shoots left. Cousins is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Paquette
Cousins
Home
53.3% (428)
48.3% (234)
Away
51.8% (340)
45.5% (286)
By Period
Paquette
Cousins
P1
54.4%
53.2%
P2
53.0%
43.5%
P3
50.6%
44.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |