Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.2%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Suzuki 49.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 66.8%
Defensive zone
Paquette 78.3%
Neutral zone
Paquette 55.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Paquette
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Paquette
Suzuki
Last 5: Paquette 1-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Paquette
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Paquette
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
49.2% (6,124)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
50.7% (1,285)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
43.4% (454)
-0.9%
On power play, Paquette has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Suzuki is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,694).
Home / Away
Paquette
Suzuki
Home
50.2% (1,541)
50.9% (3,880)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
47.5% (3,983)
By Period
Paquette
Suzuki
P1
49.1%
48.5%
P2
49.9%
49.0%
P3
47.5%
50.3%
OT
20.0%
43.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |