Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Paquette wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Suzuki 46.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 76.2%
Defensive zone
Paquette 54.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 60.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Paquette
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Paquette
Suzuki
Last 5: Paquette 1-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Paquette
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Paquette
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
46.6% (582)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
45.0% (60)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
41.2% (17)
+5.5%
On power play, Paquette has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paquette is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Paquette shoots left. Suzuki is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Paquette
Suzuki
Home
51.9% (339)
46.0% (350)
Away
49.6% (282)
46.6% (309)
By Period
Paquette
Suzuki
P1
52.7%
47.6%
P2
53.1%
45.7%
P3
47.1%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |