Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Varone 47.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 63.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 61.1%
Neutral zone
Varone 53.4%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Paquette
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Paquette
Varone
Last 5: Paquette 2-3 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
0
1
Paquette
Varone
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Paquette
Varone
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
47.5% (575)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
38.5% (13)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
50.0% (2)
-7.5%
On power play, Paquette has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Paquette
Varone
Home
50.2% (1,541)
48.0% (221)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Paquette
Varone
P1
49.1%
50.0%
P2
49.9%
42.7%
P3
47.5%
50.0%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Phil Varone |