Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Varone 49.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 64.8%
Defensive zone
Paquette 69.3%
Neutral zone
Varone 55.5%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Paquette
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Paquette
Varone
Last 5: Paquette 2-3 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
0
1
Paquette
Varone
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Paquette
Varone
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
49.7% (161)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
50.0% (2)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Varone has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Paquette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Paquette shoots left. Varone is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Paquette
Varone
Home
53.3% (428)
48.2% (56)
Away
51.8% (340)
50.5% (107)
By Period
Paquette
Varone
P1
54.4%
57.7%
P2
53.0%
49.2%
P3
50.6%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Phil Varone |