Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.4% vs Nash 50.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 50.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 56.4%
Neutral zone
Paquette 50.5%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Paquette
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Paquette
Nash
Last 7: Paquette 3-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Paquette
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (197)
50.1% (752)
-4.9%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
53.8% (104)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (36)
53.9% (102)
+4.4%
On power play, Paquette has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Paquette is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Paquette shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Paquette
Nash
Home
51.0% (98)
51.0% (502)
Away
45.3% (137)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Paquette
Nash
P1
44.1%
49.4%
P2
51.2%
50.9%
P3
46.8%
52.1%
Final 5 min
43.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
47.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |