Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 47.4% vs Nash 48.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 60.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 60.8%
Neutral zone
Paquette 58.4%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Paquette
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Paquette
Nash
Last 7: Paquette 2-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
5
Paquette
Nash
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (474)
47.7% (801)
-1.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
51.2% (41)
-51.2%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (23)
52.3% (107)
+4.2%
On power play, Nash has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Paquette is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Paquette shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Paquette
Nash
Home
50.2% (233)
50.1% (467)
Away
44.0% (266)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Paquette
Nash
P1
42.0%
52.1%
P2
47.6%
44.9%
P3
51.6%
47.3%
Final 5 min
43.2%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Riley Nash |