Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Thomas 44.6% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 54.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 85.2%
Neutral zone
Paquette 71.1%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Paquette
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Paquette
Thomas
Last 6: Paquette 4-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Paquette
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
42.1% (297)
+9.1%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
50.0% (16)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
75.0% (4)
-28.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Paquette is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Paquette shoots left. Thomas is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Paquette
Thomas
Home
51.9% (339)
40.9% (186)
Away
49.6% (282)
45.8% (131)
By Period
Paquette
Thomas
P1
52.7%
43.3%
P2
53.1%
40.6%
P3
47.1%
45.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |