Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Paquette wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Strome 47.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 72.2%
Defensive zone
Paquette 52.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 57.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Paquette
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Paquette
Strome
Last 10: Paquette 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Paquette
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Paquette
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
47.8% (813)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
56.4% (133)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
32.7% (98)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Paquette is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Paquette shoots left. Strome is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Paquette
Strome
Home
51.9% (339)
47.5% (535)
Away
49.6% (282)
47.5% (509)
By Period
Paquette
Strome
P1
52.7%
46.4%
P2
53.1%
48.3%
P3
47.1%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |