Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 71.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 53.8%
Neutral zone
Paquette 61.1%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Paquette
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Paquette
Kuraly
Last 6: Paquette 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Paquette
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
51.5% (5,067)
-1.8%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
56.0% (100)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
44.0% (1,063)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,037).
Home / Away
Paquette
Kuraly
Home
50.2% (1,541)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Paquette
Kuraly
P1
49.1%
50.8%
P2
49.9%
50.0%
P3
47.5%
49.9%
OT
20.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |