Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Paquette wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Monahan 51.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.5%
Defensive zone
Paquette 90.3%
Neutral zone
Paquette 70.3%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Paquette
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Paquette
Monahan
Last 5: Paquette 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Paquette
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
50.2% (1,117)
-1.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
55.5% (283)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (80)
56.8% (44)
-21.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Paquette is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Paquette shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Paquette
Monahan
Home
42.3% (182)
50.1% (731)
Away
48.8% (252)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Paquette
Monahan
P1
51.3%
51.3%
P2
46.1%
50.3%
P3
40.3%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
41.9%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |