Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Aho 48.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 53.7%
Defensive zone
Paquette 85.9%
Neutral zone
Paquette 68.7%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Paquette
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Paquette
Aho
Last 6: Paquette 5-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
47.4% (953)
+7.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.0% (174)
+42.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
41.6% (77)
-1.4%
On power play, Paquette has a +42.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Paquette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Paquette shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Paquette
Aho
Home
53.3% (428)
50.2% (609)
Away
51.8% (340)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Paquette
Aho
P1
54.4%
48.7%
P2
53.0%
50.2%
P3
50.6%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |