Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Lewis 47.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 60.2%
Defensive zone
Paquette 87.8%
Neutral zone
Paquette 71.7%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Paquette
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Paquette
Lewis
Last 5: Paquette 4-1 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Paquette
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
46.5% (114)
+7.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
42.9% (7)
-2.7%
On power play, Paquette has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Paquette is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Paquette shoots left. Lewis is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Paquette
Lewis
Home
53.3% (428)
48.7% (78)
Away
51.8% (340)
41.3% (46)
By Period
Paquette
Lewis
P1
54.4%
43.8%
P2
53.0%
45.9%
P3
50.6%
48.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |