Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Bozak 54.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 78.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 60.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 67.4%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Paquette
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Paquette
Bozak
Last 5: Paquette 4-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
57.3% (483)
-6.1%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
57.5% (73)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
42.3% (104)
+4.4%
On even strength, Bozak has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Paquette is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Paquette shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Paquette
Bozak
Home
51.9% (339)
57.8% (332)
Away
49.6% (282)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Paquette
Bozak
P1
52.7%
52.7%
P2
53.1%
55.6%
P3
47.1%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |