Cedric Paquette vs William Karlsson
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 45.3%). Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Paquette wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 55.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 51.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Paquette
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Paquette
Karlsson
Last 7: Paquette 4-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Paquette
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
47.2% (786)
+1.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
54.5% (11)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (80)
35.6% (163)
-0.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Paquette is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Paquette shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Paquette
Karlsson
Home
42.3% (182)
46.4% (478)
Away
48.8% (252)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Paquette
Karlsson
P1
51.3%
44.8%
P2
46.1%
45.6%
P3
40.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
41.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | William Karlsson |