Scouting Report
Chad Rau holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rau 51.5% vs Krejci 50.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 59.2%
Defensive zone
Rau 52.9%
Neutral zone
Rau 60.2%
Result
David Krejci favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Rau
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rau
Krejci
Last 5: Rau 4-1 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rau
2
0
Rau
Krejci
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rau
Krejci
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rau
1
0
Rau
Krejci
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rau
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (63)
50.6% (9,657)
+1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.3% (1,027)
+44.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.8% (469)
+51.2%
On penalty kill, Rau has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Rau is 68.4% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Rau shoots right. Krejci is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,561).
Home / Away
Rau
Krejci
Home
51.6% (31)
53.1% (5,660)
Away
55.9% (34)
48.7% (5,517)
By Period
Rau
Krejci
P1
58.8%
50.7%
P2
57.1%
51.8%
P3
48.1%
50.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rau
52.0%▼
53.8%
53.8%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Chad Rau |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Chad Rau |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Chad Rau |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Chad Rau |