Who wins more faceoffs, Chandler Stephenson or Derek Stepan?

Derek Stepan leads the head-to-head 5-3 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Chandler Stephenson's faceoff record against Derek Stepan?

Chandler Stephenson is 3-5 against Derek Stepan in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-2, Defensive 0-3, Neutral 1-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Chandler Stephenson or Derek Stepan?

Derek Stepan is the predicted winner with a 62.2% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Chandler Stephenson vs Derek Stepan

Chandler StephensonL vs Derek StepanR

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Chandler Stephenson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 52.3% vs Stepan 46.6% (+5.9%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Stepan 59.9%

Defensive zone Stepan 65.7%

Neutral zone Stepan 60.8%

Result Derek Stepan favored at 62.2%

37.8%

62.2%

Stephenson Stepan

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 5 (8 meetings)

Stephenson Stepan

Last 8: Stephenson 3-5 Stepan

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

Stephenson Stepan

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Stepan

Stephenson Stepan

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Stephenson

Stephenson Stepan

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Stephenson

Stepan

Edge

Even Strength

51.9% (5,743)

46.5% (10,204)

+5.4%

Power Play

59.8% (1,107)

48.8% (1,593)

+11.0%

Penalty Kill

45.7% (823)

44.2% (1,368)

+1.5%

On power play, Stephenson has a +11.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Stepan shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,650).

Stephenson shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).

Home / Away

Stephenson

Stepan

Home

52.6% (3,827)

47.6% (6,608)

Away

52.2% (3,846)

45.5% (6,573)

By Period

Stephenson

Stepan

51.6%

47.5%

52.4%

45.6%

52.8%

46.8%

57.7%

40.7%

Final 5 min

52.2%

47.5%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Stephenson

56.0%▲

52.5%

52.4%

Stepan

50.0%▼

55.5%

46.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Dec 28, 2019	3	14:23	Offensive	Derek Stepan
Dec 28, 2019	3	11:30	Defensive	Derek Stepan
Dec 28, 2019	2	14:06	Offensive	Chandler Stephenson
Dec 28, 2019	1	18:31	Defensive	Derek Stepan
Dec 28, 2019	1	00:21	Offensive	Chandler Stephenson
Dec 28, 2019	1	00:00	Neutral	Chandler Stephenson
Dec 6, 2018	1	18:38	Offensive	Derek Stepan
Nov 3, 2015	2	07:42	Defensive	Derek Stepan

Stephenson's Profile | Stepan's Profile