Chandler Stephenson vs Derek Stepan
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 46.1% vs Stepan 47.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 58.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 60.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Stephenson
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stephenson
Stepan
Last 6: Stephenson 3-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Stephenson
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (446)
47.3% (877)
-2.0%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
54.4% (103)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
45.2% (217)
-0.4%
On power play, Stepan has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Stephenson is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Stephenson shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Stepan
Home
44.7% (262)
50.4% (560)
Away
46.0% (252)
45.1% (637)
By Period
Stephenson
Stepan
P1
46.1%
47.4%
P2
43.0%
47.0%
P3
46.2%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
45.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |