Chandler Stephenson vs Ivan Barbashev
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +30.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Barbashev 40.7% (+30.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 65.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 95.8%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 84.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 95.8%
95.8%
4.2%
Stephenson
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stephenson
Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Barbashev
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
18.6% (43)
+33.5%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
42.9% (7)
+19.1%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Barbashev is 22.9% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Barbashev
Home
53.1% (672)
20.8% (24)
Away
51.1% (554)
23.1% (26)
By Period
Stephenson
Barbashev
P1
54.6%
33.3%
P2
51.3%
6.7%
P3
51.2%
21.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
22.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |