Chandler Stephenson vs Jack McBain
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs McBain 50.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 51.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 57.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Stephenson
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stephenson
McBain
Last 8: Stephenson 4-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Stephenson
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Stephenson
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
52.1% (545)
+0.0%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
57.1% (14)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
37.0% (46)
+2.9%
On power play, Stephenson has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McBain
Home
53.1% (672)
52.2% (289)
Away
51.1% (554)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Stephenson
McBain
P1
54.6%
52.6%
P2
51.3%
53.6%
P3
51.2%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |