Chandler Stephenson vs Matt Coronato
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.1% vs Coronato 44.0% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 53.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 89.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 65.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Stephenson
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stephenson
Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Coronato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (634)
37.1% (97)
+15.7%
Power Play
62.0% (187)
47.6% (21)
+14.4%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Stephenson is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Stephenson shoots left. Coronato is 36.2% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Coronato
Home
52.7% (533)
37.5% (56)
Away
51.9% (441)
40.3% (62)
By Period
Stephenson
Coronato
P1
56.5%
51.2%
P2
51.8%
31.4%
P3
49.7%
32.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.4%
Coronato
46.0%▲
38.5%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |