Chandler Stephenson vs Matthew Wood
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wood on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wood shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Wood 46.2% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wood 73.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 73.6%
Neutral zone
Wood 59.7%
Result
Matthew Wood favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Stephenson
Wood
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stephenson
Wood
Last 9: Stephenson 4-5 Wood
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wood
1
3
Stephenson
Wood
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Wood
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wood
1
2
Stephenson
Wood
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Wood
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
43.2% (111)
+8.9%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
41.7% (12)
+20.3%
On power play, Stephenson has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wood shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Wood is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Wood
Home
53.1% (672)
43.8% (48)
Away
51.1% (554)
42.7% (75)
By Period
Stephenson
Wood
P1
54.6%
43.8%
P2
51.3%
54.3%
P3
51.2%
28.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Wood
38.0%▼
42.9%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Matthew Wood |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Matthew Wood |