Chandler Stephenson vs Nicolas Roy
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.3%). Stephenson wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Roy 52.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 56.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Stephenson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stephenson
Roy
Last 5: Stephenson 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (987)
52.3% (589)
-0.3%
Power Play
62.4% (266)
50.0% (40)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (204)
53.3% (92)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Stephenson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Stephenson shoots left. Roy is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Roy
Home
52.8% (765)
55.1% (350)
Away
51.4% (692)
49.6% (371)
By Period
Stephenson
Roy
P1
55.4%
53.4%
P2
50.4%
51.1%
P3
51.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
50.5%
52.2%
Roy
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |