Chandler Stephenson vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.9%). Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Thomas 51.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 59.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 52.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 63.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Stephenson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Stephenson
Thomas
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
7
Stephenson
Thomas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
50.1% (615)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
62.2% (98)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
52.6% (114)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Thomas
Home
53.1% (672)
51.9% (374)
Away
51.1% (554)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Stephenson
Thomas
P1
54.6%
49.2%
P2
51.3%
55.3%
P3
51.2%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |