Chandler Stephenson vs Sean Kuraly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 63.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 65.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Stephenson
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Stephenson
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Stephenson
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Stephenson
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
51.8% (444)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
45.3% (150)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Kuraly
Home
53.1% (672)
54.6% (304)
Away
51.1% (554)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Stephenson
Kuraly
P1
54.6%
55.2%
P2
51.3%
45.7%
P3
51.2%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |