Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Washe 55.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 61.9%
Defensive zone
Washe 67.4%
Neutral zone
Washe 67.9%
Result
Tim Washe favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Stephenson
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Stephenson
Washe
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
1
Stephenson
Washe
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
2
3
Stephenson
Washe
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
60.9% (207)
-8.8%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
100.0% (3)
-38.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
41.7% (48)
-1.8%
On power play, Washe has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Washe is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Washe
Home
53.1% (672)
63.3% (120)
Away
51.1% (554)
52.9% (138)
By Period
Stephenson
Washe
P1
54.6%
60.2%
P2
51.3%
61.0%
P3
51.2%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Washe
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |