Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hudon wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hudon 43.3% vs Ryan 55.2% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hudon 71.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Hudon
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hudon
Ryan
Last 6: Hudon 3-3 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hudon
2
0
Hudon
Ryan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
2
Hudon
Ryan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Hudon
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hudon
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (194)
56.6% (4,102)
-18.5%
Power Play
51.1% (47)
53.2% (342)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.8% (649)
-47.8%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Hudon is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Hudon shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Hudon
Ryan
Home
42.2% (116)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
38.9% (126)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Hudon
Ryan
P1
40.8%
55.1%
P2
47.3%
54.7%
P3
31.6%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
43.1%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hudon
36.0%▼
41.5%
40.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Charles Hudon |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Charles Hudon |