Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hudon wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hudon 43.3% vs Stepan 47.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hudon 57.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.4%
Neutral zone
Hudon 56.9%
Result
Charles Hudon favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Hudon
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Hudon
Stepan
Last 10: Hudon 5-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
3
Hudon
Stepan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Hudon
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hudon
3
2
Hudon
Stepan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hudon
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (174)
47.0% (1,210)
-8.5%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
51.7% (232)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.2% (108)
-47.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Hudon is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Hudon shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Home / Away
Hudon
Stepan
Home
40.0% (100)
48.2% (761)
Away
40.3% (119)
47.3% (789)
By Period
Hudon
Stepan
P1
39.7%
46.3%
P2
48.2%
50.4%
P3
31.1%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hudon
36.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Charles Hudon |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Charles Hudon |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Charles Hudon |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Charles Hudon |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Charles Hudon |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Charles Hudon |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |