Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Hudon wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hudon 43.3% vs Novak 43.0% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Novak 53.2%
Defensive zone
Novak 50.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Hudon
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hudon
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (194)
41.8% (1,568)
-3.7%
Power Play
51.1% (47)
51.5% (134)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Hudon is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Hudon shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Hudon
Novak
Home
42.2% (116)
45.1% (831)
Away
38.9% (126)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Hudon
Novak
P1
40.8%
43.7%
P2
47.3%
42.8%
P3
31.6%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.1%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hudon
36.0%▼
41.5%
40.5%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%