Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cracknell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cracknell wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cracknell 41.6% vs Coyle 46.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 79.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 67.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 68.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Cracknell
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cracknell
Coyle
Last 7: Cracknell 5-2 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cracknell
1
0
Cracknell
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cracknell
3
1
Cracknell
Coyle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cracknell
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cracknell
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (360)
46.0% (426)
-5.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
39.1% (46)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
26.9% (26)
46.7% (30)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Cracknell is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cracknell shoots right. Coyle is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Cracknell
Coyle
Home
41.6% (149)
45.8% (251)
Away
38.2% (246)
45.0% (251)
By Period
Cracknell
Coyle
P1
40.0%
49.7%
P2
36.6%
46.9%
P3
41.9%
39.8%
Final 5 min
35.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cracknell
38.0%▼
43.5%
39.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |