Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs Coyle 47.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 66.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 68.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Wheeler
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Wheeler
Coyle
Last 8: Wheeler 2-6 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
4
Wheeler
Coyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
0
Wheeler
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Wheeler
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
46.6% (562)
+4.0%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
50.7% (69)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
42.6% (68)
+3.2%
On even strength, Wheeler has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Wheeler is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Wheeler shoots right. Coyle is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Coyle
Home
52.8% (352)
44.3% (332)
Away
46.3% (300)
48.8% (367)
By Period
Wheeler
Coyle
P1
46.8%
47.5%
P2
57.7%
47.5%
P3
44.8%
45.7%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
43.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |