Scouting Report
Connor Bunnaman holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bunnaman on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bunnaman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Bunnaman 52.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 67.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 67.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 68.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Coyle
Bunnaman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Coyle
Bunnaman
Last 7: Coyle 2-5 Bunnaman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
0
2
Coyle
Bunnaman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
2
3
Coyle
Bunnaman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bunnaman
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
53.0% (100)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
0.0% (1)
+51.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
100.0% (3)
-53.1%
On penalty kill, Bunnaman has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bunnaman shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Bunnaman is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bunnaman
Home
52.5% (238)
56.8% (44)
Away
44.6% (269)
51.7% (60)
By Period
Coyle
Bunnaman
P1
49.7%
55.9%
P2
49.5%
48.6%
P3
46.3%
57.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Bunnaman
52.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Connor Bunnaman |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Connor Bunnaman |
| Feb 3, 2021 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |