Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Backes 50.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 65.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 67.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 67.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Coyle
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Coyle
Backes
Last 8: Coyle 2-6 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Backes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
3
Coyle
Backes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Coyle
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
51.1% (5,772)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
50.8% (1,082)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
47.4% (930)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Home / Away
Coyle
Backes
Home
49.8% (4,835)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Coyle
Backes
P1
49.4%
50.1%
P2
48.3%
51.5%
P3
48.8%
50.8%
OT
49.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | David Backes |