Scouting Report
David Legwand holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Legwand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 43.4% vs Legwand 50.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 75.5%
Defensive zone
Legwand 85.6%
Neutral zone
Legwand 68.9%
Result
David Legwand favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Coyle
Legwand
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Legwand
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Legwand
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Legwand
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Legwand
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Legwand
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (384)
50.3% (986)
-8.9%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
52.9% (153)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
47.1% (17)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Legwand has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Legwand shoots left. Coyle is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (297).
Coyle shoots right. Legwand is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Coyle
Legwand
Home
46.4% (211)
54.6% (635)
Away
38.1% (247)
45.7% (521)
By Period
Coyle
Legwand
P1
46.2%
53.9%
P2
39.5%
48.4%
P3
37.0%
50.0%
OT
73.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
38.1%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
41.9%
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 6, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |