Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.1%). Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.8% vs MacKenzie 51.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 71.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 50.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 60.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Coyle
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Coyle
MacKenzie
Last 6: Coyle 1-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Coyle
MacKenzie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
3
Coyle
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (390)
55.7% (438)
-2.4%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
80.0% (5)
-31.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
41.4% (162)
+1.8%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Coyle is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Coyle shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Coyle
MacKenzie
Home
49.5% (210)
51.3% (312)
Away
54.4% (250)
52.9% (293)
By Period
Coyle
MacKenzie
P1
53.3%
50.5%
P2
48.0%
48.8%
P3
55.7%
57.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |