Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.5%). Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 51.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 54.7%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 52.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Coyle
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
20
(36 meetings)
16
20
Coyle
Nielsen
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
3
Coyle
Nielsen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
8
7
Coyle
Nielsen
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
10
Coyle
Nielsen
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
49.3% (7,608)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
54.7% (594)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
41.7% (1,420)
+2.1%
On power play, Nielsen has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Coyle is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,791).
Coyle shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Home / Away
Coyle
Nielsen
Home
49.7% (4,692)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Coyle
Nielsen
P1
49.5%
49.7%
P2
48.2%
47.6%
P3
48.6%
48.2%
OT
49.3%
46.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |